The Tables Have Turned In NCAA Basketball Odds For Spartans, Wolverines

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Michigan and Michigan State appeared to have switched roles after one month of the college basketball season.

Initially ranked at No. 6, the Wolverines commenced their season, whereas the Spartans began unranked. Presently, Michigan State has climbed to No. 22 following a significant victory, while Michigan, currently positioned at No. 24, is expected to slide out of the top 25 rankings.

What impact has the first month had on the future odds of both college basketball programs?

Michigan State finding its stride

So far, Michigan State has proven to be the more dominant program. With a 6-2 record this season, the Spartans showcased their strength with a 73-64 victory over Louisville during the Big Ten/ACC Challenge on Wednesday night.

In the Battle 4 Atlantis, MSU made it to the finals, causing an upset by defeating Connecticut. So far this season, the Spartans have only suffered two losses, both against highly ranked teams, No. 8 Kansas and No. 4 Baylor.

The Spartans have shown consistency against the spread, with a record of 5-2-1 in their first eight games. Additionally, in five out of eight games, the under bet has been successful, with one game resulting in a push.

Following the usual style of Tom Izzo, MSU is relying on a large number of players to secure their victories. This season, nine different players have been playing for double-digit minutes on average.

Gabe Brown has consistently been the top scorer, maintaining an average of 13 points along with 4.5 rebounds per game. Marcus Bingham Jr., utilizing his towering 7-foot stature, is averaging 10.6 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 3.1 blocks per game. Malik Hall (9.8 ppg) and Max Christie (8.3 ppg) are also close in scoring.

Turnovers have become a major concern for MSU, as they currently average 16.1 per game, posing a significant challenge for the Spartans.

Michigan now a shell of itself

Currently, the Michigan Wolverines lack a clear team identity.

After experiencing a tough defeat of 72-51 against North Carolina on Wednesday night, U-M’s record now stands at 4-3.

While Michigan’s record is commendable, their victories against Buffalo, Prairie View A&M, UNLV, and Tarleton may not be considered highly significant. However, their losses have been against formidable opponents like Seton Hall, Arizona, and UNC.

This season, Michigan has only managed to cover the spread in two out of their seven games, and the under has been the winning bet in five out of those seven games.

The standout revelation so far has been the performance of Hunter Dickinson, the sophomore center. Despite being recognized as one of the top freshmen nationwide last season, Dickinson’s progress in his second year has been underwhelming.

This season, Dickinson’s scoring average stands at 13.3 points, while he grabs an average of 7.7 rebounds per game. These figures closely resemble his statistics from the 2020-21 season. However, one noticeable decline can be observed in his free throw shooting. Currently, Dickinson’s free throw percentage stands at 60.9%, a drop compared to his 73.9% performance last year.

Michigan’s shooting from the 3-point arc is unexpectedly subpar. The team’s collective shooting percentage stands at a mere 29.4%, which is a significant drop from last season’s rate of 38.7%.

Eli Brooks leads the team, averaging 15 points per game, and boasts an impressive 41.9% shooting accuracy from the arc on his own.

MSU climbing, U-M falling in odds markets

In the NCAA basketball odds markets, Michigan is experiencing a slight decline after the initial month, while MSU is steadily making progress.

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Spartans began the NCAA Tournament season with odds of +3500 but have since improved to +3000. Similarly, Michigan initially had odds of +1200 but now stands at +1500.

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According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Wolverines were initially considered the frontrunners for the Big Ten Championship, starting with odds of +250. However, their odds have now shifted to +350. Currently, Purdue holds the position of favorite with odds of +180.

Despite the competition, MSU has maintained its position with odds of +900 to win the conference, which remains unchanged from its initial opening number.

Big Ten Conference play starting up

The Big Ten Conference play is set to kick off next week, followed by a brief pause, and then it will resume in early January.

Next week, both U-M and MSU are scheduled to play two conference games. Michigan has been fortunate to have a road trip to Nebraska on Tuesday and a home game against Minnesota on Saturday. According to BetMGM, these two teams have the highest odds (+15000) of winning the Big Ten this season. Nebraska currently holds a 5-3 record, while Minnesota has surprisingly maintained a perfect 6-0 record.

On Wednesday, MSU will commence conference play against Minnesota before heading back home to host Penn State the following Saturday. Likewise, the Nittany Lions have been assigned one of the least favorable odds (+10000) to secure victory in the Big Ten this season.

The clash between the Spartans and Wolverines is just around the corner this season. Their first encounter is scheduled for Jan. 8 in Ann Arbor, followed by a rematch on Jan. 29 in East Lansing.

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