Dan Campbell’s Coach Of The Year Odds Are Surging; Could He Actually Win?

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Written By Drew Ellis on May 10, 2024Last Updated on May 13, 2024
Dan Campbell Coach of the Year

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The Detroit Lions’ 2024 futures odds remained largely unchanged for the upcoming season following the conclusion of the NFL Draft.

Surprisingly, head coach Dan Campbell is rapidly climbing the ranks in the Coach of the Year market.

Once considered a long shot, Campbell has now risen to become one of the top coaches in the league.

Is it possible for the Lions’ second-year leader to secure the honor and bring joy to Michigan sports bettors with a victory?

Campbell most bet on for COY

According to ProFootballTalk, Dan Campbell is currently receiving the highest number of bets and total amount of money wagered among all coaches in the Coach of the Year market at Caesars Sportsbook MI.

Campbell is receiving almost triple the number of bets for COY and double the amount of handle compared to any other coach in the market.

Caesars has adjusted Campbell’s odds from 60-1 to 25-1 within the past week, owing to a significant influx of bets placed on him.

Campbell trending upward at other sportsbooks

Other sportsbooks are also experiencing a significant surge in Campbell wagers, not just Caesars.

Campbell is receiving a significant 35% of the wagers at BetMGM Michigan for winning Coach of the Year, with Frank Reich of the Indianapolis Colts trailing behind with a mere 12% in wagers.

Campbell is currently listed at +2000 by MGM to win the AP Coach of the Year award. He joins Reich, John Harbaugh, and Matt Lafleur who are all at 20-1 odds. Additionally, six coaches are considered co-favorites with odds of +1400.

Currently, Campbell is dominating the COY market at PointsBet Sportsbook MI. He holds a significant lead with 28.1% of the bet count and 33.8% of the handle. The nearest contender, Doug Pederson, the newly appointed coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars, trails behind Campbell by approximately 10% in both markets.

Campbell’s odds in the COY market have been adjusted by PointsBet to +3000, while Brandon Staley of the Los Angeles Chargers remains the frontrunner with odds of +1300.

Campbell has also been given noteworthy odds by other sportsbooks in the Coach of the Year markets.

  • DraftKings Sportsbook Michigan offers odds of +2000.
  • The odds offered by FanDuel Sportsbook MI are +2000.
  • The odds at BetRivers Sportsbook MI are +1500.

What would it take for Campbell to win?

In his inaugural season as head coach, Dan Campbell led the Detroit Lions to a record of 3-13-1.

The AP NFL Coach of the Year Award has been awarded since 1957, and only one coach has received this honor despite having a losing record. In 1990, Jimmy Johnson, the coach of the Dallas Cowboys, won the award with a record of 7-9. It is worth noting that the previous season, Dallas had a dismal record of 1-15.

Afterward, each subsequent champion has achieved a minimum of 10 victories in their respective season.

Campbell’s aim for a double-digit record would require achieving a 10-7 score, considering the recent shift to a 17-game season. This would undoubtedly represent a significant and commendable improvement.

If Campbell were to win, he would be in the esteemed company of George Wilson (1957) and Wayne Fontes (1991), the only Detroit Lions coaches to have achieved this honor. Wilson successfully led the Lions to the NFL Championship in 1957, while Fontes guided the team to their most recent playoff victory in 1991. Joining this exceptional group of coaches would certainly be a commendable achievement.

Lions’ odds staying put

Even though sports bettors have a strong affection for Dan Campbell, the Detroit Lions remain at the bottom of the odds.

Detroit is consistently being classified as one of the least likely teams to win the Super Bowl and NFC Championship, according to various bookmakers. Additionally, they are also regarded as the team with the lowest odds in the NFC North.

The regular season win prediction remains unchanged at 6.5. BetMGM maintains the odds of +500 for making it to the playoffs.

Considering that seven teams now make it from each conference, it is difficult to envision Dan Campbell being awarded Coach of the Year without the Lions qualifying for the postseason.

Despite being known as a “player’s coach” and gaining favor with the media for his memorable quotes, the Lions need to secure victories in football games for him to satisfy a significant number of bettors.

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