Michigan Sports Bettors Are Flocking To Casey Mize’s Longshot AL Cy Young Odds

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Written By Drew Ellis on April 22, 2021
Casey Mize AL Cy Young 2021

Despite the Detroit Tigers’ challenging week, Michigan sports bettors remain enthusiastic about the potential of young sensation Casey Mize.

Despite snapping a five-game losing streak on Wednesday night, the Tigers’ fans are already looking ahead due to their gloomy 7-11 record entering Thursday.

Nevertheless, the previous top selection is garnering attention at the betting counter.

Mize getting nearly half of one sportsbook’s AL Cy Young wagers

It is evident that Tigers fans have high hopes for Mize in the upcoming 2021 MLB season.

According to the recent data provided by BetMGM Sportsbook, Mize is leading the 2021 AL Cy Young field in terms of the highest number of bets placed on him as the potential winner.

Despite receiving 47% of the bets in the category, Mize’s odds remain unchanged at +5000 according to BetMGM.

The favored player in the betting odds is Gerrit Cole from the New York Yankees, with a +300 chance. Following closely is Shane Bieber, the starting pitcher for the Cleveland Indians, with odds of +350. Tyler Glasnow, representing the Tampa Bay Rays, holds odds of +600.

Cole is receiving the second-highest share of tickets, accounting for 16.3% of them.

Despite Mize having almost half of the wagers, he only receives a meager 6.8% of the handle. This proportion suggests that the majority of bets consist of small amounts, possibly originating from fans hoping to capitalize on the unlikely odds.

Despite only having 16% of the tickets, Cole is responsible for a remarkable 80.3% of the handle.

Sportsbooks continue to face Cole as their top liability, while Mize stands as the second-most significant liability in the Cy Young race.

Regular season better than spring for Casey Mize

After a challenging spring training, Mize’s regular season has brought forth a renewed sense of optimism.

Up until now, Mize has had three starts and holds a record of 1 win and 1 loss, along with an ERA of 3.38.

In spring training, Mize struggled with a 7.23 ERA and 1.77 WHIP throughout his 18.2 innings of play. Despite recording 27 strikeouts, he also issued 11 walks.

In his debut against the Minnesota Twins to kick off the regular season, Mize pitched for four innings, only conceding one earned run on five hits. He managed to strike out four batters and issued two walks.

Mize’s most impressive performance so far came on April 12 when he faced the Houston Astros. During this game, he threw seven scoreless innings, only allowing four hits and two walks while achieving five strikeouts. This outstanding performance led to his sole victory of the season.

Mize experienced his inaugural loss last Saturday, surrendering five runs across five innings from seven hits. The Oakland Athletics managed to hit three home runs off Mize, while he only struck out four batters.

Mize’s strong suit lies in his ability to strikeout batters; however, his current tally of only 13 strikeouts in three games does not even rank among the top 50 in MLB.

Uphill climb toward Cy Young Award

Sportsbooks are unlikely to be worried about Mize winning the AL Cy Young award.

In terms of initial statistics and team composition for the upcoming 2021 postseason, there are other leading contenders who possess significantly stronger numbers and are part of better-assembled teams.

Cole, being the current frontrunner, boasts an impressive 2-1 record accompanied by a remarkable 1.82 ERA and an outstanding 39 strikeouts, while only allowing three walks. These statistics surpass Mize in every aspect, and Cole’s established reputation adds to his advantage.

Bieber, who won the 2020 AL Cy Young award, has also begun the season with a record of 2 wins and 1 loss. Remarkably, he leads the league with an impressive 48 strikeouts achieved in just 29.1 innings, showcasing his exceptional talent. Additionally, Bieber boasts an impressive 2.45 ERA.

Glasnow, who is also a popular choice, boasts an impressive ERA of 0.73 in his four starts. Furthermore, he has managed to strikeout 36 batters, while only allowing seven walks.

Given Mize’s young age and the lack of competitiveness in his team, he will need exceptional statistics to make a significant impact on the Cy Young race.

Detroit’s chances of accumulating wins are also slim, as they currently rank 26th in baseball for run production.

With the exception of the COVID-shortened 2020 season, the previous nine recipients of the AL Cy Young award have accumulated a minimum of 18 victories. Additionally, in the last 13 instances, 12 victorious pitchers have maintained an ERA below 3.00.

When it comes to Mize this season, the Tigers organization will prioritize caution, avoiding excessive pitch counts and taking no risks with minor injuries.

For this bet to yield a significant return and greatly impact sportsbooks, it is imperative that all the stars align.

Mize is scheduled to make his upcoming start on Friday against the leading Kansas City Royals of the AL Central.