We The People Early Favorite At Belmont, But Longshots Have History Of Success

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Written By Paul Bergeron on June 8, 2024
Belmont Stakes

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Mo Donegal is expected to win the Grade 1 Belmont Stakes on Saturday, with Nest, a talented filly, being seen as a strong contender for the race.

However, Epicenter, despite being the favorite in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, ended up as the runner-up in both races.

However, the 2-1 morning line favorite for the third leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown, a 1.5-mile race at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y., was installed as We the People.

On May 14, We the People emerged victorious in a Grade 2 race, leading from start to finish. Among the eight competitors, We the People is recognized as the sole speed horse.

Being able to run and win on the Belmont track is widely regarded as one of the most significant factors to consider when handicapping this race, especially since it is the first time any of these 3-year-olds will be competing at this distance.

Longshots frequently make surprising appearances in the winner’s circle, with potential betting payouts reaching astronomical figures. In 2011, Ruler on Ice, a longshot with odds of 24.75-1, defied expectations and crossed the finish line first, resulting in a $74,052 return for those who had placed a $2 superfecta bet. Interestingly, it is noteworthy that out of the previous 15 Belmont races, 11 of the favorites have failed to secure victory.

We The People Early Favorite At Belmont, But Longshots Have History Of Success 2

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Deep Closers Unlikely Winners at Belmont Stakes

While analysts may struggle to identify such unlikely winners, the general consensus is to avoid placing bets on deep closers – a viewpoint that holds true. In the past decade, only Essential Quality, Sir Winston, and Creator have managed to come from behind and win races.

Shocking Rich Strike is an exclusive deep closer who gained an advantage by chasing an exceptionally quick pace in the Derby. However, a different strategy will probably be required on Saturday as his jockey, Sonny Leon, lacks experience racing at Belmont, famously referred to as “Big Sandy” due to its slow dirt structure.

The Peter Pan Stakes, or any race held under identical conditions, has also demonstrated its effectiveness as a steppingstone towards this particular race.

In the recent edition of the race, We the People emerged victorious among a field of eight horses, competing in a mile-and-an-eighth contest. Golden Glider, who finished as a distant runner-up on that day, is also among the entries for the upcoming Belmont Stakes.

In Pletcher They Trust

Todd Pletcher, a trainer based in New York, has consistently demonstrated his ability to excel in the Belmont Stakes. Over the past 15 years, several horses from his stable have secured second-place finishes, while three others have achieved third-place positions in the prestigious race.

After finishing as the runner-up in the prestigious Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks, His Nest is now ready for a new challenge, having competed just five weeks ago. It’s worth mentioning that Pletcher, the trainer, also guided Rags to Riches to victory in the Kentucky Oaks, where she triumphed over male competitors in the 2007 Belmont.

Making his debut in a Triple Crown race, We the People (with three victories in four previous starts) had previously secured a seventh-place finish in the Arkansas Derby, which marked his sole Grade 1 appearance.

Mo Donegal is a rising star worth keeping an eye on, thanks to his valuable experience, particularly in the bustling city of New York. Notably, he emerged victorious in both the Remsen (G2) and Wood Memorial (G2) races at Aqueduct Race Track. Although he secured a respectable fifth place in the highly competitive Kentucky Derby, he opted to skip the Preakness. Mo Donegal first showcased his talent by clinching his maiden victory at Belmont in October.

How to watch the Belmont Stakes

Belmont draw and odds

On Tuesday, the results of the Belmont Stakes draw were announced, revealing the morning line odds as well.

Post Position Horse Morning Line Odds
1. We The People 2-1
2. Skippylongstocking 20-1
3. Nest 8-1
4. Rich Strike 7-2
5. Creative Minister 6-1
6. Mo Donegal 5-2
7. Golden Glider 20-1
8. Barber Road 10-1

How to bet on the Belmont online in Michigan

Although Michigan’s 15 online sportsbooks do not offer horse racing as a market, there are alternative choices available for individuals interested in online horse racing betting.

TVG, the leading online betting app for horse racing in Michigan, presents an exclusive new customer offer for the upcoming Belmont event.

Begin by creating a new account and entering the promo code “RISKFREE”. After making your initial deposit, proceed to place your first bet on a winning outcome in any race at any track. Rest assured, if your bet does not succeed, you will receive a reimbursement of up to $200 in site credit within 24 hours.

The promotion will only consider the part of a wager that is placed on win/place, win/show, or win/place/show.

In Michigan, residents have the option to engage in online horse race betting through TwinSpires and Xpressbet.

You can legally place bets on horse racing at Michigan racetracks, with Northville Downs being the sole remaining option. Situated at 301 S. Center St. in Northville, you can contact 248-349-1000 to reserve your spot for the Belmont race.

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